ReGDP™: Regenerative GDP

Accounting for Living Nature in GDP

Explore how recognizing living nature as productive economic infrastructure can affect public revenue, sovereign wealth, and debt sustainability.

From living nature to fiscal resilience

Living nature Healthy and productive ecosystems
Natural capital Nature recognized as a sovereign asset
Economic value Revenue, income, and stronger assets
Fiscal resilience Debt sustainability and sovereign wealth

Why ReGDP?

Making the productive value of living nature visible

Conventional economic measures often recognize value when nature is extracted or degraded, while overlooking the continuing economic value generated by healthy living systems. ReGDP extends economic and fiscal analysis by recognizing living nature as a productive asset that generates measurable benefits and income.

1

Nature creates value

Healthy ecosystems provide measurable services such as carbon storage, coastal protection, productive fisheries, tourism, water regulation, and biodiversity.

2

Value can support economies

Countries can recognize this value through revenues, investment, stronger natural assets, and improved sovereign balance sheets.

3

ReGDP models the result

The dashboards illustrate how nature-related value could affect public debt, debt-to-GDP, fiscal resilience, and sovereign wealth.

ReGDP in practice

Explore the country case studies

Each case applies the ReGDP framework to a different natural asset, economic context, and potential fiscal pathway.

Underwater seagrass meadow representing the Bahamas case study Seagrass Ecosystem

Country case study

The Bahamas

Seagrass carbon and sovereign debt

Explore how carbon revenues associated with protecting the Bahamas’ seagrass ecosystems could change its long-term public debt trajectory and increase sovereign net worth.

Mangrove forest above and below the water in Indonesia Mangrove Ecosystem

Country case study

Indonesia

Mangrove value and public debt

Examine how the economic value of Indonesia’s mangroves could contribute to nature-related revenues, sovereign wealth, and long-term public-debt sustainability.

Panamanian landscape representing national natural capital National Natural Capital

Country case study

Panama

Nature revenue and fiscal sustainability

Explore how recognizing the productive value of Panama’s natural capital and directing associated revenues toward public finances could alter its long-term debt trajectory.

Healthy coral reef ecosystem in the Maldives Coral Reef Ecosystem

Country case study

Maldives

Coral-related activity and taxation

Explore how capturing a greater share of the economic value supported by coral reefs could strengthen public finances and improve the Maldives’ long-term debt outlook.

Using the tool

Explore how different assumptions change the fiscal outlook

Each dashboard combines a country-specific baseline with adjustable assumptions about the value generated by living nature and how that value enters the economy.

1

Select a country

Each example focuses on a particular natural asset, economic context, and nature-related revenue mechanism.

2

Adjust the assumptions

Use the dashboard controls to test alternative revenue, taxation, or allocation scenarios.

3

Compare the trajectories

See how the selected scenario affects public debt, debt-to-GDP, annual revenue, and sovereign net worth.

The dashboards are illustrative analytical tools rather than predictions. Each one is based on country-specific assumptions, available data, and a defined fiscal pathway.

The common framework

From living nature to fiscal resilience

Each dashboard follows the same broad logic while using country-specific ecological, economic, and fiscal assumptions. The examples focus on one potential channel through which the value generated by living nature can affect sovereign outcomes.

Living nature

A productive ecosystem or portfolio of natural assets generates valuable services and benefits.

Natural capital

The living system is recognized as a productive asset on the sovereign balance sheet.

Economic value

Ecosystem services generate revenues, income, avoided losses, and stronger sovereign assets.

Fiscal outcomes

Scenarios illustrate potential effects on public revenue, debt, debt-to-GDP, and sovereign net worth.

Reading the results

Illustrative scenarios, not forecasts

The dashboards demonstrate how making the productive value of living nature visible can change fiscal analysis. They do not predict one guaranteed policy, market, or macroeconomic outcome.

Each case uses its own data, assumptions, valuation approach, and revenue mechanism. Results should be read alongside the supporting sources and methodology provided for that country.

The dashboards include

  • Baseline GDP and public-debt projections
  • Country- and ecosystem-specific nature values
  • Alternative revenue or allocation assumptions
  • Changes in debt and debt-to-GDP
  • Estimated increases in sovereign net worth

They do not represent

  • A complete macroeconomic forecast
  • A guaranteed policy or market outcome
  • Every implementation and conservation cost
  • All secondary effects on growth and employment
  • A substitute for detailed country policy analysis

Interested in applying ReGDP to another country or ecosystem?

Blue Green Future works with governments, researchers, financial institutions, and conservation partners to make the economic value of living nature visible.

Contact us
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