ReGDP (draft) | Blue Green Future

ReGDP™: Regenerative GDP

Accounting for Living Nature in GDP Improving Lives and Economies

This tool illustrates how recognizing natural capital on a sovereign’s balance sheet and monetizing its ecosystem revenues can materially alter a country's fiscal and debt sustainability outlook.

Bahamas: Using carbon revenue projections due to seagrass protection. All monetary values shown below are in USD.

What Is ReGDP™?

Regenerative GDP (ReGDP™) is a national income aggregate that extends conventional GDP by incorporating verified and market- or policy-based revenues derived from ecosystem services, thereby recognizing living nature as a productive economic asset that generates measurable income flows.

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Living Nature Bahamas seagrass and related ecosystem services

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Natural Capital Asset enters sovereign
balance sheet

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Ecosystem-Service Revenues (R) Projected annual
carbon revenue

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Channel 1 Sovereign Debt Reduction

Channel 2 Investment in Nature

Channel 3 Support for Stewards

Channel 4 Household Dividends

Nature Valued and Monetized

0% 50%

Slider controls how much of the natural capital revenue accrues to the government.

Channel 1: Paying Down the Debt

0% 15%

Slider controls how much of the natural capital revenue is used to pay down sovereign debt.

Both sliders shape the debt trajectory: higher revenues and more debt paydown bend the curve downward.

Bahamas Debt-to-ReGDP™ Trajectory

The red curve reflects the baseline debt sustainability analysis (DSA) in the absence of natural capital on the sovereign balance sheet. The green curve reflects the augmented debt sustainability analysis (A-DSA), calculated from the debt dynamics formula using the selected slider values.

DSA: D/GDP A-DSA: D/(GDP+R)

Debt / ReGDP™ 85.1% Selected year: 2025

Public Debt $12.92B Modeled public debt after direct debt paydown

Annual Carbon Revenue (R) -$20.0M Selected year annual carbon revenue

Increase in Sovereign Net Worth $12.5B Net present value of the seagrass

Projection Year

Year 2030

Assumed carbon price in 2030: $75 per tCO₂e

Bahamas case study using actual natural capital revenue inputs and a debt sustainability framework built by our team. Each debt point is computed directly from the selected assumptions using a debt dynamics model.

This exercise focuses on debt sustainability effects, but a full macroeconomic treatment would show how recycling a portion of nature revenues into investment in nature protection and restoration, support for its stewardship, and inclusion strengthens the economy. For more information, please send an email to info@bluegreenfuture.org or contact us below.