ReGDP™: Regenerative GDP

Accounting for Living Nature in GDP Improving Lives and Economies

This tool illustrates how recognizing natural capital on a sovereign’s balance sheet and monetizing its ecosystem revenues can materially alter a country's fiscal and debt sustainability outlook.

Panama: Using projected ecosystem-service revenues across forests, mangroves, coastal ecosystems, and water resources. All monetary values shown below are in USD.

What Is ReGDP™?

Regenerative GDP (ReGDP™) is a national income aggregate that extends conventional GDP by incorporating verified and market- or policy-based revenues derived from ecosystem services, thereby recognizing living nature as a productive economic asset that generates measurable income flows.

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Living Nature Forests, Canal watershed, mangroves, coral reefs, and water systems
🏛️
Natural Capital Asset enters sovereign
balance sheet
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Ecosystem-Service Revenues (R) Projected annual revenues from carbon, biodiversity, tourism, and water services
Channel 1 Sovereign Debt Reduction
Channel 2 Investment in Nature
Channel 3 Support for Stewards
Channel 4 Household Dividends
0% 50%

Slider controls how much of the natural capital revenue accrues to the government.

0% 15%

Slider controls how much of the natural capital revenue is used to pay down sovereign debt.

Both sliders shape the debt trajectory: higher revenues and more debt paydown bend the curve downward.

Panama Debt-to-ReGDP™ Trajectory

The red curve reflects the baseline debt sustainability analysis (DSA) in the absence of natural capital on the sovereign balance sheet. The green curve reflects the augmented debt sustainability analysis (A-DSA), calculated from the debt dynamics formula using the selected slider values.

DSA: D/GDP A-DSA: D/(GDP+R)
Debt / ReGDP™ 59.5% Selected year: 2025
Public Debt $53.89B Modeled public debt after direct debt paydown
Annual Carbon Revenue (R) -$40.0M Selected year annual carbon revenue
Increase in Sovereign Net Worth $29.0B Net present value of Panama’s natural assets
Year 2030

Assumed carbon price in 2030: $75 per tCO₂e

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